Post COVID-19: The Next Big Thing

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Post COVID-19: The Next Big Thing
By Ademola Bakare
As nations embark on measures to mitigate the effects of the novel
coronavirus, COVID-19 pandemic, on its populace and reset their
economies, it is no longer news that the virus which the world is frantically
seeking its cure is not leaving any time soon.
in every facet, most especially, the education and health sectors.
In the early 50s to 80s, the continent was known as the food basket of the
world, providing raw materials for the industrialized nations. Nigeria
especially prided itself in its outstanding agricultural capacity.
This was evident in the Western region where late Chief Obafemi Awolowo
used cocoa as its main source of revenue to do exploits in the region,
building the first 25 storey building in the continent.
He, through the product established the first Radio/Television in Africa and
also, the Liberty Stadium in Ibadan. This is not to talk about his novel
educational policy – free education, in the entire region among his other
laudable programmes. All funded through cocoa. No other administration
after him took the vision beyond Awolowo.
As part of a healthy competition, Chief Michael Okpara, the then Premier of
the Eastern Region, tapped into its main stay, oil palm, to develop the
region. And history told us how Malaysia, the largest palm oil exporting
nation came to Nigeria, to pick the seeds in order to develop their own oil
palm industry. Today, Nigeria is one of the biggest importers of the product
from even Malaysia.
The Groundnut pyramids of the North brings a nostalgic feeling of when
years back, the pyramid once adorned the flip side of one of Nigeria’s
banknote. The Premier, Ahmadu Bello, the Sardauna of Sokoto, used
resources mainly from groundnut to drive the development of the northern
region.
Nigeria was also an investment destination for world known industrialists
and business men, and local entrepreneurs were doing great. The country
  • was the base for Leventis Motors and its super malls, Kingsway stores,
    VONO Products, Bata Shoes with its brand, COTINA shoes, LENNARDS
    shoes, (all producing shoes from tanned leather here in Nigeria) and
    Michelin Tyres in Port Harcourt, etc.
    In that era, we were riding in locally assembled cars, truck, and buses. With
    Peugeot in Kaduna, Volkswagen in Lagos, ANAMCO in Enugu, NISSAN
    and TOYOTA Motors in Lagos and LEYLAND in Ibadan. We had STEYR in
    Bauchi producing agricultural tractors and its components. VONO products
    then in Lagos were producing the seats. We can remember the Odutolas of
    this world who engaged in tyre production and other products.
    There was also EXIDE Batteries in Olodo, Ibadan, producing car batteries
    not only for Nigeria, but the sub-region, West Africa. IsoGlass and TSG in
    Ibadan, and Oluwa Glass in Ondo State, were producing the automobile
    windshields component. FERODO in Ibadan, produced tyre brakes shoes.
    Noteworthy of the era was that, Dunlop and Mitchellin were producing tyres
    from rubber plantation in River State, and today, the rubber has
    disappeared. Neither has any administration, past or present, made efforts
    to revive it.
    We had SANYO in Ibadan and KENWOOD in Lagos and by their
    establishment, we were able to listen and watch television simply because
    the assembly plants were sited here. We had THERMOCOOL producing
    fridges, freezers and air-conditioner for our comfort.
    The textile industry which used to employ millions of Nigerians, like the
    United Nigerian Textiles Limited (UNTL), based in Kaduna and Chellrams
    Stores in Lagos, were producing fabrics from cotton grown here in Nigeria,
    not imported.
    There was Nigeria Wire and Cable on Ibadan-Abeokuta road, producing
    quality cables through which we enjoyed safe and free electricity flow into
    our homes and offices. There were many other indigenous companies that
    contributed immensely to the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) and
    economic greatness. They were private sector investments.
    How about some government-initiated enterprises like the Nigeria Airways,
    Nigeria Railways Corporation and Nigeria National Shipping Lines? These
    enterprises were pride of the nation, Nigeria, and Africa,
  • Nigeria because of its enormous economic power and resources, naturally
    became the economic giant of Africa.
    However, the petrol-dollar economy fuelled with the discovery of oil moved
    the continent, and particularly Nigeria, from prosperity to poverty. This oil is
    today an albatross to our economic growth and sustenance as we are at
    the mercies of the giant players and world powers who manipulate prices
    as it suits them.
    Nigeria began its descent to this sorry state, particularly with the incursion
    of the military into power in our polity. In that era was a head of state who
    boasted that Nigeria’s problem was not money but how to spend it.
    Corruption reared its head, and it is still an unhealed cancer plaguing the
    country. Monies for development were stolen and embezzled, and no
    tangible effort was made to punish offenders. The cancer grew in bounds,
    and we lost focus.
    Resources were further plundered and the nation drifted as expected into
    poverty. A clueless former military president, once lamented after dribbling
    himself and Nigerians to a cul-de-sac, that Nigeria’s economy had defied all
    economic theories. Visionless leadership.
    The rape on the nation’s resources continued with the return of the country
    to democratic rule, though short-lived, 1979 – 83, the military made its
    return and the rest as they say is history.
    Due to the absence of consistent development of its natural resources, lack
    of commensurate infrastructure to sustain the industry and failure to
    leverage the value chain in order to better the welfare of its people,
    agriculture took the backstage for the dollar spinning oil.
    Her citizens began to seek greener pastures abroad because foreign
    nations opened its doors and provided the opportunities to thrive. Their
    exploits in all walks of life are immensely evident in medicine, academia,
    technology and many more. The subsequent brain drain that followed
    further depleted her resources.
    That we found ourselves in this morass shouldn’t have surprised us. The
    journey started decades back. But we were not discerning enough or
  • pretended not to know that the path we had charted, neglecting the first
    bride, agriculture, was a journey to economic leprosy, and if care is not
    taken, death. The nation’s situation is made worse by its internal security
    challenges, especially the incessant herders/farmers crisis that has
    affected the food producing zones in the country, thus spiking food inflation
    as farmers are no longer able to go to their farms.
    In 2016, Nigeria slipped into economic recession, and it was hoped that
    lessons learnt from the crisis would have sufficed to make us rethink how
    the government and we, Nigerians, conduct our affairs.
    Unfortunately, nothing on the table seems to suggest our seriousness in
    reviving the old good era of economic prosperity, except for the Governor
    of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele, who had demonstrated
    the zeal on economic diversification. Other government institutions are
    seemingly on holiday and clueless on ways to fire the economic
    diversification as poverty ravages the people.
    We were practically importing everything including toothpicks until the CBN
    Governor in 2016, in the midst of economic crisis, announced the
    suspension of 41 items from the forex official window. He later added two
    other products. Godwin Emefiele had identified those items as the ‘big
    elephant’ draining the nation’s reserves. The import bills were so huge that
    it created exchange rate crisis for the Naira. At a time, the local currency
    exchanged for N525/$1, before measures were taken by the Bank to arrest
    the drift.
    However, COVID-19 with its destructive escapade, has a lesson for us all
    to learn from, backward integration. I wonder if the government had not
    shut its borders in August 2019 to stimulate local production of products we
    were importing, especially rice, and rein in enterprises of smugglers and
    economic saboteurs, before the pandemic began, where would Nigeria
    have found itself when all nations in the world shut their borders, and were
    busy fashioning how to mitigate the impact of the virus?
    COVID-19 is not only a reawakening call to get serious with the economic
    diversification, but also to look inwards, join hands together with those
    charged with the responsibilities of running the government and the
    economy. This is the Next Big Thing.
  • The next big thing if we are serious as a nation, is for all of us to do all we
    can to avoid another recession. The federal government and the CBN
    especially must work together and maintain a sustained collaboration to
    facilitate inclusive growth and development across priority sectors,
    particularly, those that are employment elastic and have high economic
    impact. This is highly imperative if Nigeria must avert another economic
    crisis.
    The issue of power, electricity supply is critical as Nigerians have not been
    impressed with the government despite huge finances that had been
    committed to the sector. We are all aware that it was the reason that led
    many companies to relocate their businesses to neighbouring countries
    leading to job losses and turning what used to be business
    factories/warehouses to worship places.
    The federal government should also step up its effort with speed and
    aggression to arrest restiveness and banditry in the country, while
    programmes and initiatives to tackle the high rising unemployment rate
    should be put in place. Unemployment largely has been attributed to be the
    cause of the pervasive insecurity challenge in the country. It is a timed-
    bomb waiting to explode.
    The Central Bank of Nigeria has demonstrated its willingness and
    readiness with its various interventions, particularly at the outbreak of the
    pandemic, by providing cheap loans to households and businesses
    affected by the virus. It has also demonstrated its readiness to improve
    access to credit for not only smallholder farmers and MSMEs, but to also
    enhance consumer credit and mortgage facilities.
    I urge the CBN to intensify its effort towards diversification, particularly in
    agriculture and non-oil products. It is also pertinent to expand its economic
    commodities under the Bank’s commodity development initiatives to
    quicken the pace of food and raw materials self-sufficiency, while
    strengthening linkages between farmers and agro-processors to help
    unlock private capital flows from financial institutions to smallholder
    farmers.
    However, the fiscal authority, the federal government, and its agencies
    must brace up with matching initiatives such as providing sustainable
  • infrastructure that can generate growth and development. This is the
    yearning of Nigerians.
    Ademola Bakare, a media consultant writes from Abuja.