Post COVID-19: The Next Big Thing
By Ademola Bakare
As nations embark on measures to mitigate the effects of the novel
coronavirus, COVID-19 pandemic, on its populace and reset their
economies, it is no longer news that the virus which the world is frantically
seeking its cure is not leaving any time soon.
in every facet, most especially, the education and health sectors.
In the early 50s to 80s, the continent was known as the food basket of the
world, providing raw materials for the industrialized nations. Nigeria
especially prided itself in its outstanding agricultural capacity.
This was evident in the Western region where late Chief Obafemi Awolowo
used cocoa as its main source of revenue to do exploits in the region,
building the first 25 storey building in the continent.
He, through the product established the first Radio/Television in Africa and
also, the Liberty Stadium in Ibadan. This is not to talk about his novel
educational policy – free education, in the entire region among his other
laudable programmes. All funded through cocoa. No other administration
after him took the vision beyond Awolowo.
As part of a healthy competition, Chief Michael Okpara, the then Premier of
the Eastern Region, tapped into its main stay, oil palm, to develop the
region. And history told us how Malaysia, the largest palm oil exporting
nation came to Nigeria, to pick the seeds in order to develop their own oil
palm industry. Today, Nigeria is one of the biggest importers of the product
from even Malaysia.
The Groundnut pyramids of the North brings a nostalgic feeling of when
years back, the pyramid once adorned the flip side of one of Nigeria’s
banknote. The Premier, Ahmadu Bello, the Sardauna of Sokoto, used
resources mainly from groundnut to drive the development of the northern
region.
Nigeria was also an investment destination for world known industrialists
and business men, and local entrepreneurs were doing great. The country
- was the base for Leventis Motors and its super malls, Kingsway stores,VONO Products, Bata Shoes with its brand, COTINA shoes, LENNARDSshoes, (all producing shoes from tanned leather here in Nigeria) andMichelin Tyres in Port Harcourt, etc.In that era, we were riding in locally assembled cars, truck, and buses. WithPeugeot in Kaduna, Volkswagen in Lagos, ANAMCO in Enugu, NISSANand TOYOTA Motors in Lagos and LEYLAND in Ibadan. We had STEYR inBauchi producing agricultural tractors and its components. VONO productsthen in Lagos were producing the seats. We can remember the Odutolas ofthis world who engaged in tyre production and other products.There was also EXIDE Batteries in Olodo, Ibadan, producing car batteriesnot only for Nigeria, but the sub-region, West Africa. IsoGlass and TSG inIbadan, and Oluwa Glass in Ondo State, were producing the automobilewindshields component. FERODO in Ibadan, produced tyre brakes shoes.Noteworthy of the era was that, Dunlop and Mitchellin were producing tyresfrom rubber plantation in River State, and today, the rubber hasdisappeared. Neither has any administration, past or present, made effortsto revive it.We had SANYO in Ibadan and KENWOOD in Lagos and by theirestablishment, we were able to listen and watch television simply becausethe assembly plants were sited here. We had THERMOCOOL producingfridges, freezers and air-conditioner for our comfort.The textile industry which used to employ millions of Nigerians, like theUnited Nigerian Textiles Limited (UNTL), based in Kaduna and ChellramsStores in Lagos, were producing fabrics from cotton grown here in Nigeria,not imported.There was Nigeria Wire and Cable on Ibadan-Abeokuta road, producingquality cables through which we enjoyed safe and free electricity flow intoour homes and offices. There were many other indigenous companies thatcontributed immensely to the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) andeconomic greatness. They were private sector investments.How about some government-initiated enterprises like the Nigeria Airways,Nigeria Railways Corporation and Nigeria National Shipping Lines? Theseenterprises were pride of the nation, Nigeria, and Africa,
- Nigeria because of its enormous economic power and resources, naturallybecame the economic giant of Africa.However, the petrol-dollar economy fuelled with the discovery of oil movedthe continent, and particularly Nigeria, from prosperity to poverty. This oil istoday an albatross to our economic growth and sustenance as we are atthe mercies of the giant players and world powers who manipulate pricesas it suits them.Nigeria began its descent to this sorry state, particularly with the incursionof the military into power in our polity. In that era was a head of state whoboasted that Nigeria’s problem was not money but how to spend it.Corruption reared its head, and it is still an unhealed cancer plaguing thecountry. Monies for development were stolen and embezzled, and notangible effort was made to punish offenders. The cancer grew in bounds,and we lost focus.Resources were further plundered and the nation drifted as expected intopoverty. A clueless former military president, once lamented after dribblinghimself and Nigerians to a cul-de-sac, that Nigeria’s economy had defied alleconomic theories. Visionless leadership.The rape on the nation’s resources continued with the return of the countryto democratic rule, though short-lived, 1979 – 83, the military made itsreturn and the rest as they say is history.Due to the absence of consistent development of its natural resources, lackof commensurate infrastructure to sustain the industry and failure toleverage the value chain in order to better the welfare of its people,agriculture took the backstage for the dollar spinning oil.Her citizens began to seek greener pastures abroad because foreignnations opened its doors and provided the opportunities to thrive. Theirexploits in all walks of life are immensely evident in medicine, academia,technology and many more. The subsequent brain drain that followedfurther depleted her resources.That we found ourselves in this morass shouldn’t have surprised us. Thejourney started decades back. But we were not discerning enough or
- pretended not to know that the path we had charted, neglecting the firstbride, agriculture, was a journey to economic leprosy, and if care is nottaken, death. The nation’s situation is made worse by its internal securitychallenges, especially the incessant herders/farmers crisis that hasaffected the food producing zones in the country, thus spiking food inflationas farmers are no longer able to go to their farms.In 2016, Nigeria slipped into economic recession, and it was hoped thatlessons learnt from the crisis would have sufficed to make us rethink howthe government and we, Nigerians, conduct our affairs.Unfortunately, nothing on the table seems to suggest our seriousness inreviving the old good era of economic prosperity, except for the Governorof the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele, who had demonstratedthe zeal on economic diversification. Other government institutions areseemingly on holiday and clueless on ways to fire the economicdiversification as poverty ravages the people.We were practically importing everything including toothpicks until the CBNGovernor in 2016, in the midst of economic crisis, announced thesuspension of 41 items from the forex official window. He later added twoother products. Godwin Emefiele had identified those items as the ‘bigelephant’ draining the nation’s reserves. The import bills were so huge thatit created exchange rate crisis for the Naira. At a time, the local currencyexchanged for N525/$1, before measures were taken by the Bank to arrestthe drift.However, COVID-19 with its destructive escapade, has a lesson for us allto learn from, backward integration. I wonder if the government had notshut its borders in August 2019 to stimulate local production of products wewere importing, especially rice, and rein in enterprises of smugglers andeconomic saboteurs, before the pandemic began, where would Nigeriahave found itself when all nations in the world shut their borders, and werebusy fashioning how to mitigate the impact of the virus?COVID-19 is not only a reawakening call to get serious with the economicdiversification, but also to look inwards, join hands together with thosecharged with the responsibilities of running the government and theeconomy. This is the Next Big Thing.
- The next big thing if we are serious as a nation, is for all of us to do all wecan to avoid another recession. The federal government and the CBNespecially must work together and maintain a sustained collaboration tofacilitate inclusive growth and development across priority sectors,particularly, those that are employment elastic and have high economicimpact. This is highly imperative if Nigeria must avert another economiccrisis.The issue of power, electricity supply is critical as Nigerians have not beenimpressed with the government despite huge finances that had beencommitted to the sector. We are all aware that it was the reason that ledmany companies to relocate their businesses to neighbouring countriesleading to job losses and turning what used to be businessfactories/warehouses to worship places.The federal government should also step up its effort with speed andaggression to arrest restiveness and banditry in the country, whileprogrammes and initiatives to tackle the high rising unemployment rateshould be put in place. Unemployment largely has been attributed to be thecause of the pervasive insecurity challenge in the country. It is a timed-bomb waiting to explode.The Central Bank of Nigeria has demonstrated its willingness andreadiness with its various interventions, particularly at the outbreak of thepandemic, by providing cheap loans to households and businessesaffected by the virus. It has also demonstrated its readiness to improveaccess to credit for not only smallholder farmers and MSMEs, but to alsoenhance consumer credit and mortgage facilities.I urge the CBN to intensify its effort towards diversification, particularly inagriculture and non-oil products. It is also pertinent to expand its economiccommodities under the Bank’s commodity development initiatives toquicken the pace of food and raw materials self-sufficiency, whilestrengthening linkages between farmers and agro-processors to helpunlock private capital flows from financial institutions to smallholderfarmers.However, the fiscal authority, the federal government, and its agenciesmust brace up with matching initiatives such as providing sustainable
- infrastructure that can generate growth and development. This is theyearning of Nigerians.Ademola Bakare, a media consultant writes from Abuja.